ARCHIVES: Quarter 1 Year 2020

ADMIN Notes:

 

1. WHEN FORECASTING DEMAND: Remember to view the "Contracts" section of this news report for important information relevant to calculating your "Real Market Share" (market share figures adjusted to remove Business-to-Business sales within a market group). The "Advanced Topics" section of the simulation user guide explains several forecasting methods to use depending on your firm's risk tolerance. Also, do NOT forget that the "Overview" section of the user guide contains the quarterly demand ratios you will need to use when calculating quarterly demand per product type. And, please don't forget that "TOTAL UNIT SALES" INCLUDE "WHOLESALE SALES" in your Firm's Sales Report. Subtract any Wholesale Sales totals from the "Total Unit Sales" figures to determine sales to the simulated retail market.

 

2. To access the chat room/message board forum, please request the general forum password from your instructor, Professor Manjuris, or your simulation administrator, Kristi. Kristi will send you the general forum password that will allow you to enter the platform. You may then register for an individual firm account with the forum to post messages or enter the chat room. The chat room/message board forum is how your simulation administrator Kristi will make special announcements mid-week, so it is important that all firms have an account set up.

 

3. Special reports for all quarters/years will be posted free of charge to the Message Board forum available from the "Chat" tab of the Globalview homepage. If your team has not already registered for an individual account you may do so by following directions above. The special reports are specific to each market group and include financial ratios, production efficiency factors, etc. for each firm in a given market group.

ECONOMIC NEWS:

GDP increased about 1% and inflation was moderate in both the EU and NAFTA.  The T-bill rate increased ½%.  The Great Recession is over and most think the robust recovery has spent its fuel.  The press is attempting to find dramatic news stories, but the reality is that citizens and their leaders appear fatigued by it all and are ready to embrace a quiet, stable, positive year or two of reflection.

 

Stock prices are high, mirroring the very healthy balance sheets and income statements of both NAFTA and EU firms.

 


INDUSTRY:

 

Demand was seasonally constant to slightly higher in all products in all areas.

 


 

CONTRACTS:

 

Firm-to-Firm Product Sales This Quarter:

          Industry  2 
          Accepter  Buyer  Seller    Item               Quantity      
              21      42     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     3500    
              21      42     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     5500    
              22      53     22   Finished Goods   P2A1     1000    
              22      53     22   Finished Goods   P2A1     7000    
              22      53     22   Finished Goods   P2A1     2000    
              21      47     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     2000    
              21      47     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     4000    
              25      25     26   Finished Goods   P1A1     9000    
              26      25     26   Finished Goods   P1A1      800    
              26      25     26   Finished Goods   P2A1     3000    
              26      25     26   Finished Goods   P2A1     6800    

          Industry  3 
          Accepter  Buyer  Seller    Item               Quantity    
              36      36     21   Finished Goods   P1A2     1000    
              36      36     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     6700    
              36      36     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     3300    
              35      21     35   Finished Goods   P2A1     4000    

          Industry  4 
          Accepter  Buyer  Seller    Item               Quantity       
              43      43     52   Finished Goods   P2A1     7000    
              43      43     52   Finished Goods   P1A1     2000    
              43      43     52   Finished Goods   P2A1     3000    
              46      46     21   Finished Goods   P2A2     5000    
 

 

Peacock is now closed to all firms. If your firm does not have a manufacturing plant to produce your own products then you will need to purchase finished goods from other firms. If you have not already done so, you will need to set up an individual account in the chat room/message board system. You may ask your professor or simulation administrator for the general forum password.

 

*Remember that Peacock does NOT sell plant hours and does not sell raw materials. Use the "Capacity" decision menu to build or expand a manufacturing plant. Use the "Raw Materials" decision menu to purchase raw materials one quarter in advance of using them in production.

 


STOCKS:

     List of firms in order of net present value 

             Stock No.    NPV    Index  
                53        2.66      1   
                34        1.60      2   
                44        1.31      3   
                56        1.21      4   
                51        1.13      5   
                22        0.98      6   
                35        0.74      7   
                46        0.72      8   
                32        0.57      9   
                23        0.33     10   
                26        0.09     11   
                21       -0.04     12   
                24       -0.16     13   
                33       -0.21     14   
                43       -0.25     15   
                52       -0.43     16   
                54       -0.45     17   
                41       -1.20     18   
                31       -1.37     19   
                36       -1.79     20   
                42       -1.86     21   
                45       -1.97     22   
                55       -2.62     23   
                25       -3.71     24   


Stock  
Number                  D  a  t  e  s
        20184  20191  20192  20193  20194  20201 
=====  =====  =====  =====  =====  =====  =====  
   21    2.82   3.01   2.94   2.46   3.54   4.37 
   22    3.11   3.49   3.78   4.04   4.34   4.36 
   23    2.65   2.90   3.07   3.22   3.53   3.99 
   24    2.91   2.87   2.83   2.69   3.55   3.69 
   25    4.40   2.32   1.30   0.61   0.84   0.41 
   26    3.08   3.05   3.04   3.36   3.76   4.01 
   31    2.77   2.39   2.06   0.95   0.89   2.80 
   32    2.62   2.86   3.11   3.02   3.42   3.32 
   33    2.85   3.02   2.98   2.74   3.14   3.69 
   34    3.18   3.56   3.36   3.69   5.47   5.86 
   35    2.67   3.01   3.27   3.34   3.42   3.30 
   36    3.65   3.30   1.81   1.94   2.37   2.75 
   41    3.08   2.85   2.64   1.72   2.06   2.46 
   42    4.03   3.12   2.21   1.23   2.57   3.23 
   43    3.83   3.54   4.07   2.94   4.30   5.19 
   44    2.89   3.19   3.43   4.15   5.31   5.28 
   45    2.86   2.18   1.35   1.10   0.99   0.75 
   46    2.75   3.53   3.64   2.95   3.36   3.54 
   51    2.69   2.93   3.25   3.27   3.60   3.65 
   52    2.91   3.09   2.98   2.73   2.38   2.68 
   53    2.84   3.04   3.59   3.77   5.52   7.78 
   54    2.42   2.75   1.89   1.88   2.45   3.20 
   55    3.55   2.47   1.16   0.71   0.90   1.67 
   56    2.93   3.59   3.82   3.51   4.31   4.16 

  Mkt    3.06   3.00   2.82   2.58   3.17   3.59 
TBill  0.0200 0.0025 0.0037 0.0050 0.0063 0.0075 


          Stock        Shares        Closing                 
         Number        Traded         Price           Change 
         ======      ========        =======         ========
            21              0          4.37            0.83  
            22              0          4.36            0.02  
            23              0          3.99            0.46  
            24              0          3.69            0.14  
            25              0          0.41           -0.43  
            26              0          4.01            0.25  
            31              0          2.80            1.91  
            32              0          3.32           -0.10  
            33              0          3.69            0.55  
            34              0          5.86            0.39  
            35              0          3.30           -0.12  
            36              0          2.75            0.38  
            41              0          2.46            0.40  
            42              0          3.23            0.66  
            43              0          5.19            0.89  
            44              0          5.28           -0.03  
            45              0          0.75           -0.24  
            46              0          3.54            0.18  
            51              0          3.65            0.05  
            52              0          2.68            0.30  
            53              0          7.78            2.26  
            54              0          3.20            0.75  
            55              0          1.67            0.77  
            56              0          4.16           -0.15  

           Mkt              0          3.59            0.42